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Bitcoin reaches $118,500 – Analyst forecasts $125,000 with 75% probability
According to Wallstreet Online, the Bitcoin market has gained approximately 1.5 percent in the past 24 hours, once again reaching the $118,500 mark. This development highlights the ongoing recovery after a recent consolidation phase, with the crucial support area between $110,000 and $112,000 proving stable.
Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson points out that capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have turned positive again, signaling improved market sentiment. Based on his analysis, such a trend reversal is followed by a price increase in Bitcoin in 75 percent of cases over the next four weeks. Historically, the average gain during these phases has been around eight percent. Peterson estimates the chance of a new all-time high within the next 30 days at 75 percent, with a potential target of about $125,000.
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Institutional investors are playing a significant role in market stability. The analyst "The Bitcoin Therapist" notes that US-based Bitcoin ETFs now hold around 1.3 million BTC worth over $150 billion. Additionally, the 100 largest publicly traded companies collectively own nearly 1 million BTC valued at more than $110 billion. This means that over $250 billion in Bitcoin is locked up long-term, reducing available supply and serving as a fundamental driver for long-term price increases.
Bitcoin Hyper, a Layer-2 initiative, has raised over $8 million in its ongoing presale. The platform aims to expand Bitcoin's usability beyond its traditional role as a digital store of value by combining Bitcoin's security with the high processing speed of the Solana Virtual Machine. The HYPER token serves as both a payment method for network fees and a staking asset, currently offering around 140 percent annual yield.
| Key Figures | Value |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin Price | $118,500 |
| Support Area | $110,000 - $112,000 |
| ETF Holdings | 1.3 million BTC ($150B+) |
| Top 100 Companies' Holdings | ~1 million BTC ($110B+) |
| Bitcoin Hyper Presale | $8 million+ |
| HYPER Staking Yield | ~140% APY |
- 75% probability of Bitcoin reaching $125,000 in the next 30 days (Peterson)
- Over $250 billion in Bitcoin held by institutions and companies
- Bitcoin Hyper presale signals strong interest in new Bitcoin architecture
Summary: Bitcoin shows strong recovery and institutional support, with analysts forecasting a 75% chance of reaching $125,000 soon. Bitcoin Hyper's presale success underlines growing interest in innovative Bitcoin solutions. (Source: Wallstreet Online)
This Bear Market Is Maximally Bullish for Bitcoin
Business Insider Deutschland reports that, while bear markets are typically associated with falling prices and pessimism, the current environment may be exceptionally bullish for Bitcoin. Analysts from the Kobeissi Letter highlight that since the collapse of the gold-backed Bretton Woods system in 1971, fiat currencies have been in a perpetual bear market, losing at least 2% of their value annually due to inflation. Even stable economies like the US, Canada, France, and China have averaged about 4% inflation per year, while emerging markets such as Brazil, Argentina, and Venezuela have experienced near-total currency devaluation.
Persistent inflation erodes trust in state-backed currencies and increases demand for alternative stores of value. Gold has traditionally benefited from this trend, but Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a digital alternative, offering scarcity and global tradability. Bitcoin's long-term value appreciation contrasts with the steady loss of purchasing power in fiat currencies. Swan analysts emphasize Bitcoin's ability to outpace monetary debasement, especially as governments continue deficit spending—$3 trillion more in the US alone—and unlimited fiat money creation. This is expected to drive more corporate and national capital into Bitcoin.
"One of the core utilities around Bitcoin right now is the ability to outpace monetary debasement." – Ben Werkman, CIO of Swan
Bitcoin Hyper is also positioned to benefit from this bullish environment. The platform combines Bitcoin's security with the speed of the Solana Virtual Machine, allowing native BTC to be tokenized and used in complex applications. The HYPER token serves as both a transaction currency and a governance token. The presale has already raised about $8 million, and staking offers around 145% APY.
- Fiat currencies have lost at least 2% annually since 1971
- Bitcoin and gold act as hedges against inflation
- Bitcoin Hyper presale: ~$8 million raised, ~145% APY for staking
Summary: Decades of fiat currency devaluation make Bitcoin an increasingly attractive hedge. Institutional and technological developments, such as Bitcoin Hyper, are set to benefit from this trend. (Source: Business Insider Deutschland)
Not Bitcoin: Is This Cryptocurrency Poised for a 10,000% Rally?
According to Börse Online, while Bitcoin has delivered over 10,000 percent returns since 2017, investment strategist Tom Lee from Fundstrat now sees similar potential in Ethereum. In the Bankless podcast, Lee stated that Ethereum is experiencing its "Bitcoin moment" from 2017, as institutional investors are entering the market en masse.
If Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin's past performance, it could see a 10,000 percent increase, potentially surpassing Bitcoin as the leading cryptocurrency. In the short term, Lee expects Ethereum to reach $7,000 to $15,000 by year-end—a gain of up to 300 percent. Mid-term, he considers $20,000 a realistic target. Lee also notes that the current market sentiment is too negative to be considered a bubble and believes ETH is fundamentally undervalued. His company, Bitmine Immersion Techs, has already purchased 833,000 ETH, aiming to hold up to five percent of the total supply and generate additional returns through staking.
| Asset | Return Since 2017 | Short-Term Target | Mid-Term Target | Institutional Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 10,000%+ | - | - | - |
| Ethereum | - | $7,000 - $15,000 | $20,000 | 833,000 ETH (Bitmine Immersion Techs) |
- Tom Lee sees Ethereum as having 10,000% rally potential
- Short-term price target: $7,000–$15,000; mid-term: $20,000
- Bitmine Immersion Techs aims to hold up to 5% of ETH supply
Summary: Ethereum could be on the verge of a historic rally, with institutional investors and analysts like Tom Lee predicting massive upside. (Source: Börse Online)
Buying Bitcoin via Bank App: Smart Entry or Expensive Detour?
t3n reports that more banks and brokers are enabling direct Bitcoin purchases through their apps, making crypto trading more accessible to mainstream users. Neobanks like Bunq, Revolut, N26, Trade Republic, and Scalable Capital now offer crypto trading, with even traditional banks such as Sparkassen and Volksbanken planning to launch crypto services this year.
While the process is convenient, it comes with higher costs and sometimes limited control over the actual coins. For example, Scalable Capital offers Bitcoin ETPs rather than real coins, and some platforms do not allow transfers to personal wallets. Fees vary significantly: Bunq charges 1.99% per trade in its free account, with lower fees in paid plans (down to 0.25% in the Elite plan at €18.99/month). N26 charges 1.5% for Bitcoin and 2.5% for other cryptocurrencies. Bitpanda charges 1.49% per trade, while Bison (Börse Stuttgart) is slightly cheaper at 1.25%.
| Provider | Fee per Trade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bunq Free | 1.99% | Free account |
| Bunq Core | 0.99% | €3.99/month |
| Bunq Pro | 0.49% | €9.99/month |
| Bunq Elite | 0.25% | €18.99/month |
| N26 | 1.5% (BTC), 2.5% (others) | - |
| Bitpanda | 1.49% | - |
| Bison | 1.25% | Börse Stuttgart |
- Bank apps make crypto trading easy but often more expensive
- Some platforms offer only derivatives, not real coins
- Fees can range from 0.25% to 2.5% per trade
- Custodial wallets are standard, but self-custody is possible with hardware wallets
Summary: Bank and neobank apps simplify crypto access but may involve higher fees and less control over assets compared to traditional crypto exchanges. (Source: t3n)
Bitcoin Lost: James Howells and the Search for $1,000,000,000 on the Landfill
FinanzNachrichten.de reports on the ongoing story of James Howells, who is searching for a hard drive containing Bitcoin worth $1,000,000,000 on a landfill. The case highlights the risks of self-custody and the irreversible nature of lost private keys in the crypto world.
- James Howells is searching for a lost hard drive with $1 billion in Bitcoin
- The story underscores the importance of secure storage for crypto assets
Summary: The search for lost Bitcoin worth $1 billion continues, illustrating the high stakes and risks of personal crypto storage. (Source: FinanzNachrichten.de)
Largest Bitcoin Heist Ever Uncovered – Remained Undetected for 5 Years
According to WinFuture, blockchain detectives have uncovered the largest crypto heist in history, which went unnoticed for five years. The LuBian mining pool was robbed of more than 114,000 BTC on December 28, 2020. Additional thefts occurred in the following days, including six million dollars in BTC and USDT from an Omni-Layer address. By the end of December 2020, LuBian consolidated 11,886 BTC into a "Recovery Wallet" and went offline. The mining operation ceased all activities in spring 2021, and the hacker consolidated the stolen funds in July 2024 but has not spent any of the money. On August 2, 2025, Arkham Intelligence identified the hack and marked the wallet owner as the attacker.
| Date | Event | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2020 | LuBian hacked | 114,000+ BTC |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Additional theft | $6 million (BTC & USDT) |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Consolidation to Recovery Wallet | 11,886 BTC |
| Spring 2021 | LuBian ceases operations | - |
| July 2024 | Hacker consolidates funds | - |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Hack identified by Arkham Intelligence | - |
- 114,000+ BTC stolen from LuBian in December 2020
- Heist remained undetected for five years
- Arkham Intelligence identified the attacker in August 2025
Summary: The largest Bitcoin theft in history, involving over 114,000 BTC, was uncovered after five years, highlighting ongoing security challenges in the crypto sector. (Source: WinFuture)
Sources:
- Bitcoin erreicht 118.500 USD – Analyst prognostiziert 125.000 USD mit 75% Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Dieser Bärenmarkt ist maximal bullisch für Bitcoin
- Nicht Bitcoin: Steht diese Kryptowährung vor einer 10.000%-Rallye?
- Bitcoin-Kauf per Bank-App: Smarter Einstieg oder teurer Umweg?
- Bitcoin verloren: James Howells: Auf der Suche nach 1.000.000.000 US-Dollar auf der Mülldeponie
- Größter Bitcoin-Raub jemals aufgedeckt - blieb 5 Jahre völlig unbemerkt
