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Strategy: Bitcoin Giant Misses Inclusion in the S&P 500
Despite meeting all criteria, Bitcoin giant Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has been excluded from the S&P 500 index. This decision comes as a disappointment to CEO Michael Saylor, as Strategy holds 636,000 BTC valued at over $70 billion, making it the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. Following the announcement, Strategy's stock fell nearly 3% in after-hours trading.
In contrast, Robinhood, a broker heavily focused on crypto trading, will be included in the S&P 500 starting September 22, 2025. Robinhood's stock surged by 7% in after-hours trading, reflecting a 150% increase in value this year. This inclusion highlights the growing significance of crypto-focused companies in traditional financial markets, especially as the political landscape becomes more crypto-friendly.
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“The S&P 500 is the most important US stock index, encompassing the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the United States, serving as a key indicator of the American economy.”
Key Takeaways:
- Strategy holds 636,000 BTC worth over $70 billion.
- Robinhood will be included in the S&P 500, reflecting the rise of crypto-focused companies.
- Strategy's stock fell nearly 3% after the S&P decision.
Source: BTC-ECHO
Strong Decline in Bitcoin Leads Investors to Stable Options
In September, Bitcoin prices fell sharply below $108,000, marking a decline of over 6% in a single day. This downturn has heightened market risk aversion, prompting some short-term investors to quickly exit, putting pressure on Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies. Traditional cryptocurrency holders faced significant short-term losses, as the volatility made relying solely on price recoveries unreliable.
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“The value of cloud mining lies in its low entry barriers and predictable profit distribution, making it a viable option for continuous investment in crypto assets.”
Key Takeaways:
- Bitcoin prices fell below $108,000, leading to increased market risk aversion.
- Cloud mining offers a stable investment alternative with predictable profits.
- Operational tasks are managed by the platform, reducing investor workload.
Source: Wallstreet Online
PlanC: Bitcoin Does Not Have to Peak in Q4
Analyst PlanC has challenged the common belief that Bitcoin will automatically reach its peak in the fourth quarter. He argues that historical halving cycles do not provide a solid basis for this expectation. PlanC likens this belief to a coin toss, stating that just because heads has appeared three times in a row does not mean it must appear again on the fourth toss.
While many traders anticipate a Bitcoin peak in Q4 2025, PlanC warns that there is no fundamental reason for this to occur. He emphasizes that the influence of treasury companies and ETF inflows has diminished the historical dependence on halving cycles. Although Q4 has historically yielded an average return of 85% for Bitcoin, he highlights the psychological nature of this expectation.
“Anyone who thinks Bitcoin has to peak in Q4 of this year does not understand statistics or probability.”
Key Takeaways:
- PlanC argues against the expectation of a Q4 Bitcoin peak based on flawed statistical reasoning.
- The influence of halving cycles on Bitcoin's price is diminishing.
- Market movements often contradict collective expectations.
Source: BTC-ECHO
Bitcoin News: Rally Ending in Q4? Investors May Be Mistaken
Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating around $110,000, showing low volatility. Over the past week, BTC has seen a slight increase of approximately 1.5%. Analysts are divided, with some warning of a potential bear market while others expect a strong fourth quarter. The prevailing belief in a Q4 rally may be misleading, as historical patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.
Recent data indicates that large market participants have sold over 100,000 BTC in the last 30 days, marking the largest sell-off since 2022. This trend reflects a growing risk aversion among whales and has recently pushed Bitcoin's price below $108,000. If this trend continues, it could exert additional pressure on the market.
“In the last thirty days, whale reserves have fallen by more than 100,000 BTC, signaling intense risk aversion among large investors.”
Key Takeaways:
- Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $110,000 with low volatility.
- Large sell-offs by whales indicate growing risk aversion in the market.
- Analysts are divided on the potential for a Q4 rally.
Source: 99Bitcoins
Sources:
- Strategy: Bitcoin-Gigant verpasst Aufnahme in den SP 500
- Der starke Rückgang von Bitcoin lässt Anleger auf stabile Optionen wie Verträge zurückgreifen
- PlanC: Bitcoin muss nicht im Q4 seinen Höhepunkt erreichen
- Bitcoin News: Rallye-Aus im Q4? Darum könnten sich Anleger irren
- Drittes Bitcoin-Forum in Ingolstadt: Drei Tage, 60 Referenten, volles Programm
- Bitcoin News: Unterstützung bei 108.000 USD – XTB Bitcoin Prognose ₿
