Table of Contents:
XRP on the Rise: Legal Victory, ETF Speculation, and Market Dynamics
Ripple's Legal Victory and BlackRock ETF Speculation
Ripple has achieved a significant legal victory against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), leading to a notable increase in the price of XRP. According to BeInCrypto, both parties withdrew their appeals on August 7, which has shifted the focus of industry experts to the future prospects of XRP. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management, suggested that BlackRock, one of the world's leading asset managers, might soon consider filing for an 'iShares XRP ETF'. Geraci stated, "I admit it if I'm wrong. In my opinion, it makes *zero* sense to ignore crypto assets beyond BTC and ETH."
"I just think they're happy with the two. Law of diminishing returns from here. But again, I have nothing to go on except my own gut," said Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, disagreeing with Geraci's view.
BlackRock already manages the leading Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA). The company's potential support for XRP could lend the digital asset further credibility and institutional backing, potentially increasing investor confidence and market acceptance. However, other major asset managers such as Bitwise, 21Shares, Canary Capital, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, ProShares, and WisdomTree have already filed applications to launch XRP ETFs, indicating growing interest in the asset.
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- Legal dispute between Ripple and SEC concluded with both parties withdrawing appeals.
- Speculation about BlackRock filing for an XRP ETF is increasing.
- Other major asset managers have already submitted XRP ETF applications.
Key Takeaway: Ripple's legal win has boosted XRP's price and increased the likelihood of an ETF approval, with BlackRock's potential involvement seen as a major positive signal. (Source: BeInCrypto)
Polymarket Odds and XRP Price Surge
The resolution of the Ripple-SEC case has significantly increased the probability of an XRP ETF approval by the end of the year. According to the latest data from Polymarket, traders assign an 87% probability for the approval of an XRP ETF by December 2025. This figure is particularly notable as the odds had dropped to 62% after SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw voted against the approval of several crypto ETFs. Despite this, Eric Balchunas commented, "We haven't changed our odds, still at 95%."
In addition to the ETF approval odds, XRP's price has seen a remarkable increase. According to BeInCrypto Markets data, the trading price of XRP at the time of reporting was $3.32, representing an 11.4% increase in the last 24 hours—the highest gain among the top 10 coins.
| Event | Value |
|---|---|
| Polymarket ETF Approval Odds (Dec 2025) | 87% |
| XRP Price (at reporting time) | $3.32 |
| 24h Price Increase | 11.4% |
Key Takeaway: The probability of an XRP ETF approval is high, and the price of XRP has surged significantly following the legal resolution. (Source: BeInCrypto)
Ripple's Expansion and Institutional Interest
Ripple continues its expansion strategy with the acquisition of Canadian stablecoin payment platform Rail for $200 million, as reported by 99Bitcoins. The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter, positioning Ripple as a leading force in stablecoin payments. Rail reportedly handles about 10% of all global stablecoin payments and enables cross-border transactions within hours, much faster than traditional banking solutions. Ripple aims to strengthen its own stablecoin RLUSD in payment transactions through this acquisition.
Meanwhile, Japanese financial giant SBI Holdings plans to launch a Bitcoin-XRP ETF on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, pending regulatory approval. SBI also plans a second fund combining gold ETFs with cryptocurrencies, targeting institutional investors. SBI operates a joint venture with Ripple, SBI Ripple Asia, and has used XRP in payments for years. The planned ETF could further strengthen XRP's role in the institutional sector, especially if Japan becomes a pioneer for regulated crypto funds.
- Ripple acquires Rail for $200 million; Rail processes 10% of global stablecoin payments.
- SBI Holdings plans a Bitcoin-XRP ETF for the Tokyo Stock Exchange; approval pending.
- Japan could set a precedent for regulated crypto funds.
Key Takeaway: Ripple's acquisition and SBI's ETF plans highlight growing institutional interest and the strategic expansion of XRP in global payments. (Source: 99Bitcoins)
Market Sentiment, Technical Analysis, and Trading Activity
XRP is currently trading at $2.99, with speculation about a potential 280% rally similar to the surge seen in late 2024. The end of the SEC legal dispute has structurally strengthened Ripple, and institutional interest is rising, with increased inflows into XRP-related financial products and higher trading activity on crypto exchanges. Technically, XRP is trading above key moving averages, and market sentiment is improving, especially due to seasonal patterns that historically favor strong fourth-quarter performance.
Recent technical indicators show bullish signals: XRP is trading stably above $3.05, with RSI and MACD indicating upward potential. The Elliott Wave forecast suggests price targets between $5.65 and $13.00. Whale activity is also notable, with over $300 million in XRP recently moved from exchanges to wallets.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| XRP Price (current) | $2.99 - $3.07 |
| Potential Price Targets (Elliott Wave) | $5.65 - $13.00 |
| Whale Transfers | $300 million+ |
However, the 24-hour trading volume for XRP has dropped by 25.70%, indicating a possible consolidation phase or a pause before the next breakout. On Polymarket, 92% of participants believe XRP will rise during the day, but only 7% expect XRP to become part of the official US state reserve by the end of 2025, down from over 39% in March.
- XRP price stable above $3.05, with bullish technical indicators.
- Trading volume down 25.70% in 24 hours.
- Short-term optimism high, but long-term political breakthroughs seen as unlikely by most traders.
Key Takeaway: Technical and institutional signals for XRP are bullish, but trading volume has declined, and long-term political expectations have diminished. (Source: 99Bitcoins)
Regional Trends and Community Sentiment
Google Trends data over the past 12 months reveals a significant gap between Germany and the global market regarding interest in Ripple and XRP. In Germany, the trend score for "Ripple" is currently 18, and for "XRP" it is 26. Globally, "Ripple" scores 44 and "XRP" 34, indicating much higher international interest. The hype around presale coins such as "Maxi Doge" is also growing rapidly, especially on social media and search engines.
Within the XRP community, anticipation is high for the SEC's decision on withdrawing its appeal in the Ripple case. The internal SEC vote was scheduled for 05:00 German time, but no public confirmation has been released yet. The community expects an official statement soon, which could significantly impact XRP's regulatory outlook.
- German interest in Ripple/XRP is low (trend scores: 18 and 26), while global interest is higher (44 and 34).
- Presale coins are gaining traction, especially in the US and Asia.
- XRP community awaits SEC decision, which could trigger strong price dynamics.
Key Takeaway: Regional interest in XRP varies, with global attention outpacing Germany, and the community is closely watching for regulatory developments. (Source: 99Bitcoins)
Summary Table: Key XRP Developments
| Event | Source | Key Data |
|---|---|---|
| Legal victory against SEC | BeInCrypto | Appeals withdrawn, price surge |
| BlackRock ETF speculation | BeInCrypto | Potential application, 87% approval odds (Polymarket) |
| Ripple acquires Rail | 99Bitcoins | $200 million, 10% of global stablecoin payments |
| SBI Bitcoin-XRP ETF plan | 99Bitcoins | Pending approval, Tokyo Stock Exchange |
| XRP price movement | BeInCrypto, 99Bitcoins | $2.99 - $3.32, 11.4% 24h increase |
| Trading volume change | 99Bitcoins | -25.70% in 24h |
| Google Trends (Germany/Global) | 99Bitcoins | Ripple: 18/44, XRP: 26/34 |
Overall Insight: XRP is experiencing a period of strong momentum driven by legal clarity, institutional interest, and technical signals, though trading activity and long-term political expectations remain mixed. (Sources: BeInCrypto, 99Bitcoins)
Sources:
- XRP im Aufwind: Ripple-Rechtssieg und ETF-Gerüchte um BlackRock
- [LIVE] Ripple Prognose: Kommt die nächste 280 %-Rallye? XRP News und Markteinschätzungen im Live-Ticker
- Ripple: Leitet der XRP Kurs jetzt eine Korrektur ein?
- Krypto-Marktupdate: Ethereum und XRP brechen plötzlich aus
- XRP ETF Zulassungswahrscheinlichkeit steigt auf 90%, nachdem der Rechtsstreit zwischen Ripple und der SEC beendet ist
- XRP Prognose 2025 und 2026: Ripple Kursentwicklung bis 2030
